2 edition of Perception and strategic warning found in the catalog.
Perception and strategic warning
|Statement||Edmund Brunner, Jr.|
|Series||A Rand note -- N-1273-AF|
|Contributions||Rand Corporation., United States. Air Force|
|The Physical Object|
|Pagination||vii, 35 p. ;|
|Number of Pages||35|
Providing strategic warning to policymakers is a key function of governmental intelligence organizations. Today, globally networked challenges increasingly overshadow their historical state. The book has left an indelible mark on generations and is a valuable lesson in looking at the world through another person’s eyes. Beloved by Toni Morrison Nobel laureate Toni Morrison reportedly spent three years thinking about her Pulitzer-winning novel before writing a word.
For the perception of the enemy's deception plan, and even the recognition that he may be practicing deception at all, clearly is a most important element in the warning process. In some cases, it could be the most important element in warning, and particularly of strategic warning, of the recognition of the enemy's intention to attack. Denial and Deception: The Keys to Surprise. Given the United States’ global interests and alliance commitments, adversaries have a major incentive to use denial and deception against U.S. intelligence collection and analysis. If warning is denied or delayed, a fait accompli might preclude timely action to avert the threat. Terrorist and Cited by: 5.
Readings. Infinity Journal's Readings section is a collection of books and articles on Strategy that we suggest to our members. It is by no means comprehensive but what is listed should be of great assistance in bettering your understanding of what Strategy is (and is not). Voodoo Science: The Road from Foolishness to Fraud is a book published in by physics professor Robert L. Park, critical of research that falls short of adhering to the scientific authors have used the term "voodoo science", but it remains most closely associated with Park. The book is critical of, among other things, homeopathy, cold fusion and the International Space y: UK & USA.
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Perception and strategic warning book this from a library. Perception and strategic warning. [E D Brunner; Rand Corporation.; United States. Air Force.] -- Strategic warning is described as a perception occurring to persons in the nation's top leadership that an opponent may launch a nuclear attack.
Because the only opponent now likely to. Analysis for Strategic Warning CYNTHIA M. GRABO With a Foreword by Lieutenant General James A. Williams, USA (Ret.) Analysis for Strategic Warning December This book is a publication of the Joint Military Intelligence College’s Center for Strategic a perception or a by: Anticipating Surprise, originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts during the Cold War, has been declassified and condensed to provide wider audiences with an inside look at intelligence gathering and analysis for strategic warning.
Cynthia Grabo defines the essential steps in the warning process, examines distinctive ingredients of the analytic method of intelligence 4/5(2). Originally written as a textbook for Cold War intelligence analysts, the declassified book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning speaks clearly to our current security environment.
As author Cynthia Grabo points out, "The analytic problems of warning, and the nature of errors, are really little changed" (p. ix). Warning is a skill unto itself, requiring an understanding of the attitudes and disciplines of potential adversaries as well as their capabilities, their history, their culture and their biases.
In an era of asymmetric warfare in which our national security and well being can be seriously threatened by hostile groups as well as nations, it is imperative that lessons from the past not be Cited by: Political factors for warning --Ambiguity of political indicator --Problem of perception --Considerations in political warning Warning from totality of evidence -- Relative weight of political and military factors -- Isolating the critical facts and indications -- Some guidelines for assessing the meaning of evidence -- Reconstructing the.
Many factors influence the way in which we perceive the world and the people in it. Our different cultural backgrounds, life experiences, and personal values all affect our interactions and. Ontopower: War, Powers, and the State of Perception by Brian Massumi, Duke University Press, Brian Massumi’s latest addition to our understanding of power may be the most important addition to grand strategy since On Massumi, an “ontopower” is power that is able to alter perception about a chain of effects, altering the future of the original (pg.
41). “I’ve been in the book publishing business for twenty five years. Rarely have I read a book as profound and life-changing as Leadership and Self-Deception.” —David Sanford, Literary Agent, Credo Communications “This book was recommended to me at an annual strategic planning session.
I was stunned by the truth of it and the simple /5(). The Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis. Occasional Papers: Volume 2, Number 1, Jan. ‘03 Strategic warning aims for analytic perception and effective communication to policy officials of important changes in the character or level of security threats that require re-evaluation of US readiness to deter, avert, or limit damage.
Anticipating Surprise, originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts during the Cold War, has been declassified and condensed to provide wider audiences with an inside look at intelligence gathering and analysis for strategic warning.
Cynthia Grabo defines the essential Brand: UPA. The United States' Ballistic Missile Defense comprehensive strategy states that the United States homeland missile defense capabilities are not focused on Russia, are not intended to affect the strategic balance with them, and are not of sufficient capacity to deal with Russian large scale attacks.
Read "National Defense Intelligence College Paper: Anticipating Surprise - Analysis for Strategic Warning - DEFCON Status, Deception, Surprise and Timing, Political and Military Factors" by Progressive Management available from Rakuten Kobo.
This unique and informative paper was produced by the NatiBrand: Progressive Management. Buy Aviation Visual Perception: Research, Misperception and Mishaps the book issues a clear warning that over-reliance on external visual judgement in degraded visual conditions can be a recipe for disaster.' Master of Arts in National Security and Strategic Studies, Naval Command and Staff College, Newport RI,and a PhD in 5/5(1).
This book provides a focus on strategic flood risk management and is one in series of six books, which together consider three fundamental water resources management issues: river basin planning (Pegram et al., ), basin water allocation (Speed et al., ), and strategic flood risk by: Since the advent of US and Russian nuclear-armed ballistic missiles and early warning systems, the danger has always existed that a false warning of attack—believed to be true—could cause either nation to inadvertently launch a responsive “retaliatory” strike with its own nuclear forces.
Fear of a disarming nuclear strike, especially during a crisis, creates immense Continued. The topic of perception management with regard to strategic defense was the subject of an April memorandum (Document 23) from the Joint Staff director of operations to 20 different individuals, including the JCS chairman, military service chiefs of staff, the commanders of the unified commands, and the directors of the DIA and National.
Case Study: Risk Perception and Warning of the Mt. Helens Eruption. In late March,Mt. Helens began a series of ash and steam eruptions that culminated six weeks later in a blast that ejected one cubic mile of material from the top of the mountain.
We argue that the basic and contemporary concepts related to crisis management, especially in the communication field, share some similarities with what was practiced in ancient civilizations such as the importance of direct contact between the leadership and the public.
Other similarities include the accurate diagnosis of the real causes of the crisis, the forbiddance of the dissemination of Author: Khaled Zamoum, Tevhide Serra Gorpe.
Notes from the book by Miller Heiman: The New Strategic Selling Joe Murphy PAGE 2 The NEW Strategic Selling The following is an outline of the book from Miller-Heiman. Please read the information contained in this report for it will help us all be on the same page and move us closer to our objective – winning Size: KB.
Understanding Risk Communication Theory: A Guide for Emergency Managers and Communicators 4 Identifying perception work driven by Paul Slovic and Sarah Lichtenstein. Fischhoff worked in this area starting in presentation, persuasion, and strategic messaging.
Additionally, failures at controlling or managing risk risk communicationcrisis.ard risk perception, written about in the rest of this book, to the practice of disaster risk management, particularly with regard to current moves to encourage commu- nity-based : J.
Twigg.Summary. Providing the insight and tools needed to improve the perception your customers have about the quality of your product or service, Your Customers' Perception of Quality: What It Means to Your Bottom Line and How to Control It introduces a ground-breaking model for measuring the impact of quality perception on your bottom line.
Allowing you to look at quality from an outside-in, truly.